DC Area Forecast: Warmer through Friday, then a cooler and more complicated weekend
Today (Wednesday): Early morning cloud cover should give way to a partly to mostly sunny day. The air mass continues to warm, with temperatures rising into the 40’s and into the 50’s this morning, to afternoon highs in the low 60’s. Winds remain fairly weak from the south, but may be a little breezy in the late morning to early afternoon blow. Confidence: medium to high
This evening: Mostly clear tonight, then increasing clouds in the night. Depths in the upper 30s to low 40s with light winds. Confidence: high
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Tomorrow (Thursday): Mild skies linger despite mostly cloudy skies and the chance of a few light afternoon showers. Afternoon highs should reach the low 60s with a late afternoon breeze from the south. Confidence: average
Tomorrow evening: The wind from the south is a bit blowing in the evening. That keeps temperatures super mild with lows only dropping to the mid 40s to near 50s which is right around our average day high for this time of year. Confidence: medium to high
Friday starts partly sunny before becoming mostly cloudy by noon. Highs move back into the low 60s with a chance of showers Friday afternoon through Friday evening. We should be getting cooler Friday night with lows in the mid-30s to lows in the 40s. Confidence: Low-Medium
Saturday the weekend starts colder. The peaks only reach midway to above 40, with a gust of wind and an isolated shower or two possible. Confidence: average
There is now some uncertainty for it Saturday night on Sunday. Precipitation associated with a storm system developing in the south may miss us to the south and east or simply shower us with a few showers of rain or snow. Another possible scenario is that we see more significant rain, possibly even mixed with sleet. As for temperatures, Saturday night lows should dip into the 30s, with Sunday highs in the 40s to near 50s. Confidence: Low
A daily rating of the probability of at least an inch of snow in the next week, on a scale of 0 to 10.
1/10 (↑): It’s a gamble that snow will fall from Saturday evening to early Sunday, but right now we’re looking for an excuse to roll out the SPI.